Burnham's Bold Comeback: A By-Election Battle or Leadership Challenge?

Andy Burnham, the current mayor of Greater Manchester, has made headlines by seeking permission to stand in the upcoming by-election for the Gorton and Denton seat in Parliament. This move comes after the resignation of former MP Andrew Gwynne due to health issues. If successful, Burnham could position himself for a potential leadership challenge against Sir Keir Starmer, even as some of Starmer’s allies might oppose his candidacy.

In a statement, Burnham emphasized that he aims to support the Labour government rather than undermine it, declaring the decision to run was challenging. His application to stand must be approved by the Labour Party’s national executive committee (NEC), with a decision expected soon.

Support and reactions have emerged from various Labour figures. London Mayor Sir Sadiq Khan backed Burnham, stating he should have the right to run, while deputy Labour leader Lucy Powell argued for presenting the best candidate to maintain unity. Conversely, concerns were raised about the party’s internal divisions and possible setbacks if Burnham’s candidacy is blocked.

A decision against Burnham could lead to repercussions, especially among his supporters within the party, with some voicing that it may trigger serious repercussions for Labour’s cohesion and future electoral prospects.

Beyond the immediate challenge of winning the Gorton and Denton seat, if Burnham is elected, he must then resign as mayor, which would initiate a new election for that position. Previous costs of mayoral elections make some party members wary of the financial implications of his dual ambitions. Should he secure the nomination, Burnham is positioned as a strong candidate, given the historical Labour stronghold of Gorton and Denton, although recent polls suggest challenges from Reform UK and the Green Party.

With uncertainty surrounding his candidacy and potential internal conflict on the horizon, the next few days will determine Burnham’s political future and the Labour Party’s stability heading into what could be a turbulent election season.