Will the Tories Rise from the Ashes or Fade into Irrelevance?
The Conservative Party is facing a critical juncture as it grapples with internal dissent and a declining public image, particularly following recent political exits to Reform UK, including that of former defense minister Sarah Atherton. The party’s unpopularity has reached alarming levels, exacerbated by a lack of recovery under new leader Kemi Badenoch, who has yet to show significant traction since her appointment. Though technically the main opposition, the Tories struggle to reclaim their status as the principal challengers to the government, as they are overshadowed by both Labour and Reform UK.
As the party gathers in Manchester for their conference, the pressure mounts for Badenoch to articulate a clear direction amid criticisms of her leadership style, often described as grand and disconnected. Party insiders express concern that her measured pace may hinder the party’s ability to regain public confidence, particularly as Reform UK gains ground by appealing directly to the right-wing voter base
The upcoming conference presents a vital opportunity for Badenoch to demonstrate her vision and leadership, with many urging her to focus on economic policies that resonate with a broader electorate. There is an emerging consensus within the party that an emphasis solely on ideological battles could alienate moderate supporters, thus limiting their appeal. Despite criticisms, some party members believe that shifting their focus onto core economic issues rather than engaging in culture wars could revitalize their standing.
Additionally, there’s concern over the collective identity of the Tories, as party figures express confusion about what the party truly represents after a tumultuous leadership transition from Theresa May to Boris Johnson, and now to Badenoch. With polling showing her popularity lagging behind many previous leaders, insiders speculate about her longevity in the role amidst growing concerns that failing to reconnect with voters could lead to a drop to third or fourth place in future elections.
As conference days unfold, the Tories must navigate their uncertain identity, handle internal grumbling, and prove their relevance in a dangerously shifting political landscape. The stakes are high, as Badenoch’s leadership effectiveness will be scrutinized, and her capacity to regain the Tory’s substantial influence in UK politics is essential for their survival.