Caerphilly's Crucial By-Election: Who Will Shape the Future of Welsh Politics?

On 23 October, residents of Caerphilly will elect a new Member of the Senedd (MS) for the next six months, following the sudden death of Hefin David, Labour’s long-time representative. This by-election is critical, as it will influence the power dynamics of the Welsh Parliament until the next general election in May 2026. With Labour historically dominant in this area since 1999, losing the seat could necessitate collaborations with multiple opposition parties, potentially jeopardizing their budget plans and legislative effectiveness.

Voter Eligibility: The by-election allows voters aged 16 and older who are British, Irish, or EU citizens and reside in the constituency to participate. This includes residents with legal status from other countries. Importantly, unlike Westminster elections, no ID is required at polling stations.

This election features candidates from multiple parties, including Labour, Plaid Cymru, Reform, Conservatives, and Liberal Democrats, among others. Each party is gearing up for a strategic campaign, with Reform UK seeing this as its chance to win a parliamentary seat in Wales, while Plaid Cymru is targeting left-leaning voters.

Votes will be counted using the first-past-the-post system, meaning the candidate with the most votes wins. Given that Caerphilly will undergo significant constituency changes next year, becoming part of a larger electoral area, this by-election represents both a local and symbolic fight for political relevance.

Polling Hours: Voters can cast their ballots from 0700 to 2200 BST on election day. Those needing a proxy vote must apply by 15 October, and the counting of votes will occur overnight, with results broadcast across various media platforms, including BBC Wales.